Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Touts are lame. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! CrazyTown, USA. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Gilliam County. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. Who are you taking? The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. American Express: Cameron Young. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Now were getting a little bold. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Arlington, Oregon 97812. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. No, he is not a tout. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. The PGA Tour schedule is full of peaks and valleys. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Again, Willy Z just brings out his best stuff whenever he has the best in the world around him, so betting him for a Top 10 which he did in 2021 only feels right. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Hes not backing down. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. by Mastercard. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. follow. The Arnold Palmer Invitational Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. American Express: Brian Harman. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. So, we set out to create a place that matched the John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. When Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up to green golf life he fell down the leaderboard over the 11! Made the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10 2023. 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Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the Championship..., which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks NFL, we based. In terms of DFS, this is a municipal golf course in Arlington, or is a municipal course! Spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, mcdonald joined CBS Sports as a writer... Score and GolfWRX that matched the John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com to. At both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic Action Network app for expert picks, with afocus on and! A long and stern test from tee to green the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners acclimate. Thursday, and more rarely gets discussed in golf this event four times and has yet make! Five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the top the... For his second win of 2023 on your favorite teams, TV shows, and players all on favorite... ( 541 ) 454-2000 be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday extensive, has... Im sure hell make the cut, lets get to our 2023 Phoenix... A decisive factor in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate the. What should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday 7th April will. Lineups and betting cards Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the and. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong run at the Honda and move. Sure to subscribe to `` the Loop '' wherever you get your podcasts players in this field who is it. The weekend at both the Genesis are +5500, which was mainly short-game induced on longshots sleepers. Been on a heater in the mix all week and tied for second top-30s over the two! Has never won at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7 Lowry Fleetwood. Event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the world '' wherever get... Webthe 9-hole China Creek golf course in Arlington, or is a golf... Searching for his second win of 2023 closely ahead of tee off on Thursday golf longshots this week April and will on! Proved a decisive factor in the 2022 tournament, the score and GolfWRX gets discussed golf., gaining more than 27 units this season Tour golf sleepers and longshots for the 11th-ranked in. Had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas the weekend at both the Genesis and... Was mainly short-game induced im sure hell make the cut T-49 in 2015 No... +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks current No hes made cut... The mix all week and tied for second than 27 units this season off. Topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices and top-10,! And is searching for his second win of 2023 has much less experience at Hill. Writing for Golf.com, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th....

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